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Playoff picture projections: Updated odds for every team trying to reach the postseason

We are following the 2025 season's playoff picture. Here's how things look right now for wild-card spots, division races and even the draft order.

7h
Illustration by Masa

How Week 16 reset the race for the AFC and NFC 1-seeds: Barnwell on NFL's best teams

Will the Broncos hold off the Patriots in the AFC? Can the Seahawks stay ahead of the Rams in the NFC?

5hBill Barnwell

TOP HEADLINES

WHAT WE LEARNED

Our reporters make sense of Week 16: Statement wins for Patriots, Jaguars, Panthers, Steelers, Bears

Our NFL Nation reporters answer big questions from each Week 16 game. Here's what you need to know.

14hNFL Nation
James Lang-Imagn Images

Let's overreact to NFL Week 16: Broncos won't be the 1-seed? Macdonald is COY?

Did lopsided loss expose Denver? Should Bowles be done? We overreact to Week 16, plus fantasy takes.

17hDan Graziano

AROUND THE LEAGUE

John Elway impressed by Bo Nix's maturity level

32m
0:55

Can Bears make a Super Bowl run this season?

4h
1:55

NFL NATION

Missed tackles, third-down struggles doom the Broncos defense: 'We didn't execute'

Denver's 11-game win streak fizzled against the Jaguars, as the defense couldn't seem to get off the field. Should the Broncos be concerned?

7hJeff Legwold
Brooke Sutton/Getty Images

Browns' Carson Schwesinger's path from walk-on to rookie star

7hDaniel Oyefusi

What did Cowboys get right in Schottenheimer's first season?

2hTodd Archer

Saints' Taysom Hill reflects on 'special day' with his future uncertain

51mKatherine Terrell

With Lions' loss, Bears clinch first playoff berth in 5 years

17hCourtney Cronin

CHASING HISTORY

Two vulnerable NFL sack records: Tracking pace for Myles Garrett (22!), Broncos' D (63!)

The Browns' vet edge rusher and Denver's defense are in contention to rewrite the single-season sacks record book.

15hDaniel Oyefusi and Jeff Legwold
Jason Miller/Getty Images

STEELERS OUTLAST LIONS

Steelers prevail after offensive pass interference on dramatic final play

17h
0:34

'Chaos': Aaron Rodgers' one-word take of Steelers-Lions tops Week 16 quotes

With the playoff race heating up, Week 16 gave fans highlight plays and headline-worthy quotes.

17hESPN staff

A CHANCE TO REEXAMINE EVERYTHING

As Chiefs collapse continues, lost 2025 season could be a blessing in disguise

While this shouldn't be a full teardown and rebuild, Kansas City could retool and search for new ideas.

21hDan Wetzel
Jamie Squire/Getty Images

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NFL Playoff Machine

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  • Simulate playoff matchups

    Predict playoff pairings by selecting the winners of the remaining regular-season games to generate potential scenarios.

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