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Special to ESPN.com- Licensed professional engineer with 20 years experience
- Uses advanced metrics to find betting market inefficiencies
- Specializes in NFL and CFB totals
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ESPN Sports Betting Analyst- Professional sports bettor finding advantages in inefficient markets
- Joined ESPN in 2019
- MS Sport Psychology, University of Utah
It's Week 6 of the NFL season, and handicappers Warren Sharp and Preston Johnson have you covered with comprehensive betting previews for all of Sunday's games (except the late game, which will be featured in a separate file).
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Thursday evening.
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns (PK)
Total: 45
PickCenter public consensus pick: 63 percent picked Los Angeles
Johnson: Over the past two weeks against the Browns, I saw the majority of bettors laying -3 with the Raiders and -3 with the Ravens. I wrote about potential value actually being on Cleveland in both cases, with a rookie quarterback in Baker Mayfield, whom defenses didn't have much film on. My numbers were slightly lower anyway, and had either line reached +3.5, I would have been placing bets on the Browns. Well, after a miracle in Oakland, the Raiders forced an overtime and won the game with a field goal, but Cleveland got its own overtime magic this Sunday with a 12-9 win over Baltimore.
My number in this game is