Below are my power ratings for all 68 teams in the 2019 NCAA tournament.
The numbers show how many points better (or worse) each school is compared to an average-rated school, and the difference between the ratings for two teams is what I would make the spread in a matchup on a neutral court.
With Zion Williamson back, the Duke Blue Devils barely edge out the Gonzaga Bulldogs for the top spot on my power ranks.
Happy handicapping and good luck during March Madness.
2019 NCAA tournament power ratings My Rank Team Tourney Seed Power Rating 1 Duke 1 25 2 Gonzaga 1 24.6 3 Virginia 1 22.9 4 North Carolina 1 21.1 5 Kentucky 2 20.8 6 Tennessee 2 19.8 7 Michigan 2 18.2 8 Michigan St. 2 18.1 9 Texas Tech 3 18 10 Purdue 3 17.3 12 Florida St. 4 16 11 Nevada 7 16 13 Auburn 5 15.5 14 Kansas 4 15.4 15 Houston 3 15.3 16 LSU 3 15.2 17 Wisconsin 5 15.2 20 Virginia Tech 4 14.8 18 Iowa State 6 14.8 19 Villanova 6 14.8 21 Miss St. 5 14.5 22 Marquette 5 14.1 23 Buffalo 6 14.1 24 Louisville 7 13.8 25 Maryland 6 13.7 27 Kansas St. 4 13.2 29 Cincinnati 7 12.4 30 Florida 10 12.4 31 Syracuse 8 12.2 32 Iowa 10 11.8 34 Utah St. 8 11.6 35 Mississippi 8 11.1 37 Wofford 7 11 38 Washington 9 10.7 39 Baylor 9 10.6 41 VCU 8 10.5 40 St. Mary's 11 10.5 42 Ohio St. 11 10.4 43 Oregon 12 10.2 44 Oklahoma 9 10.1 46 UCF 9 10.1 50 Minnesota 10 9.1 52 Arizona State 11 9 54 New Mexico St. 12 8.9 56 Belmont 11 8.7 58 Seton Hall 10 8.5 59 St. John's 11 8.4 66 Temple 11 7.5 68 Murray St. 12 7.4 80 Liberty 12 6.5 87 Northeastern 13 6.1 94 UC Irvine 13 5.8 100 Vermont 13 5.2 99 Yale 14 5.2 105 Saint Louis 13 4.8 118 Old Dominion 14 3.7 119 Montana 15 3.7 121 Northern Kentucky 14 3.5 134 Georgia St. 14 2.1 136 Colgate 15 2 165 Bradley 15 -0.3 176 Abilene Christian 15 -1 180 Iona 16 -1.1 211 Gardner-Webb 16 -2.6 214 North Dakota St. 16 -2.7 241 Prairie View A&M 16 -4.6 251 Fairleigh Dickinson 16 -5.3 305 NC Central 16 -8.9
