NFL Week 10 kicked off Thursday night with the Carolina Panthers taking another loss, this time to the Chicago Bears. Sunday morning football continues from Frankfurt, Germany featuring the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots. Sunday night's game will pit the New York Jets against the Las Vegas Raiders while Monday Night Football will cap off the week with Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills hosting the Denver Broncos.
Football Power Index (FPI) by ESPN Sports Analytics Group. Odds by ESPN BET.
Indianapolis Colts -2 @ New England Patriots
Frankfurt Stadium, Frankfurt, Germany
Sunday 9:30 a.m. ET
Money Line: Indianapolis Colts (-125) ; New England Patriots (+105)
Total: 42.5; Opened: 41.5
FPI favorite: Colts by 0.8 (52.4% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Patriots -1
Betting Nuggets
The Patriots are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs.
Mac Jones is 4-14 ATS in his career as an underdog.
The Colts are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Unders are 4-0 in games played at 9:30 AM ET this season.
Houston Texans @ Cincinnati Bengals -6
Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Houston Texans (+220) ; Cincinnati Bengals (-270)
Total: 46.5; Opened: 44
FPI favorite: Bengals by 5.3 (65.5% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Bengals have covered four straight games after starting the season 0-3-1 ATS.
The Texans are 4-1 ATS as underdogs this season with four straight covers. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs.
The Bengals are 26-14-1 ATS in the last three seasons and 16-7-1 ATS in the last two seasons.
New Orleans Saints -3 @ Minnesota Vikings
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: New Orleans Saints (-150) ; Minnesota Vikings (+130)
Total: 40.5; Opened: 38.5
FPI favorite: Vikings by 0 (50.1% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Saints are 1-6-1 ATS as favorites this season.
The Vikings have covered four straight games.
Unders are 4-0 in Vikings home games this season. Six of the last seven Vikings games overall have gone under the total.
Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Green Bay Packers (+150) ; Pittsburgh Steelers (-175)
Total: 38.5; Opened: 37
FPI favorite: Steelers by 3.3 (59.6% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Packers are 16-7 ATS as underdogs under Matt LaFleur but 0-3 ATS in their past three games as an underdog.
Steelers games are 7-1 to the under this season, the second-highest percentage this season.
The Steelers are 3-0 outright and ATS against teams with losing records this season (all three games went under the total).
The Steelers are 8-2 ATS off extra rest since 2021 (five straight covers).
Tennessee Titans @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Tennessee Titans (+120) ; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-140)
Total: 39.5; Opened: 38
FPI favorite: Buccaneers by 1.6 (54.8% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
Mike Vrabel is 23-22 outright in his career as an underdog (27-17-1 ATS).
The Buccaneers are 0-3 ATS in their last three home games.
The Titans are 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
Five of the last six Buccaneers games went under the total. Five of the last six Titans games went under the total..
San Francisco 49ers -3 @ Jacksonville Jaguars
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: San Francisco 49ers (-170) ; Jacksonville Jaguars (+145)
Total: 44.5; Opened: 44
FPI favorite: 49ers by 2.1 (56.4% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Jaguars are 4-1 outright and ATS as home underdogs under Doug Pederson.
The Jaguars have covered five straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL.
The 49ers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games off a bye (2-4 ATS under Kyle Shanahan).
The 49ers are 0-3 ATS in their last three games.
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens -6.5
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
Sunday 1 p.m. ET
Money Line: Cleveland Browns (+230) ; Baltimore Ravens (-280)
Total: 38.5; Opened: 37.5
FPI favorite: Ravens by 7.1 (70.1% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Ravens -4.5
Betting Nuggets
The Ravens are 4-1 ATS this season against teams currently with winning records.
The last three meetings have gone under the total. 19 of the last 29 meetings have gone under the total.
The Browns are 6-15 ATS in division games under Kevin Stefanski.
Atlanta Falcons -2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals
State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET
Money Line: Atlanta Falcons (-130) ; Arizona Cardinals (+110)
Total: 43.5; Opened: 41
FPI favorite: Falcons by 2.5 (57.5% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as favorites (1-5 ATS as favorites this season).
Unders are 7-1 in the Falcons last eight road games.
Detroit Lions -3 @ Los Angeles Chargers
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Sunday 4:05 p.m. ET
Money Line: Detroit Lions (-155) ; Los Angeles Chargers (+135)
Total: 48.5; Opened: 48.5
FPI favorite: Chargers by 3.1 (59.2% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Chargers -1
Betting Nuggets
The Lions are 29-13 ATS in the last three seasons (under Dan Campbell) and 18-7 ATS in the last two seasons, both best in the NFL in that span.
The Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
Six straight Chargers games have gone under the total.
Justin Herbert is 12-8 ATS as an underdog
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys -17.5
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET
Money Line: New York Giants (+1200) ; Dallas Cowboys (-2500)
Total: 38.5; Opened: 38.5
FPI favorite: Cowboys by 17.1 (89.9% to win outright)
Line Movement Alert: Opened Cowboys -10
Betting Nuggets
Giants games are 8-1 to the under this season, the highest under percentage in the NFL.
The Cowboys are 6-0 ATS after a loss since the start of last season.
The Giants are 1-4 ATS on the road this season.
The Cowboys have covered 10 of the last 13 meetings.
Washington Commanders @ Seattle Seahawks -6
Lumen Field, Seattle
Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET
Money Line: Washington Commanders (+220) ; Seattle Seahawks (-270)
Total: 44.5; Opened: NL
FPI favorite: Seahawks by 6.1 (67.5% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Commanders are 4-0 ATS as road underdogs this season. They are 4-1 ATS overall on the road.
The Commanders are also 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs.
The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in conference games this season with four straight covers.
The Seahawks have covered three straight games against teams with losing records.
New York Jets -1 @ Las Vegas Raiders
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas
Sunday 8:20 p.m. ET
Money Line: New York Jets (-115) ; Las Vegas Raiders (-105)
Total: 36.5; Opened: NL
FPI favorite: Jets by 1.9 (55.8% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Raiders have covered three straight home games.
Since 2018, the Jets are 1-8-1 ATS on short rest (0-3 ATS under Robert Saleh).
Six of the last seven Raiders games have gone under the total.
The Raiders are 0-3 ATS in their last three games as an underdog.
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills -7
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, New York
Monday 8:15 p.m. ET
Money Line: Denver Broncos (+270) ; Buffalo Bills (-340)
Total: 46.5; Opened: 45.5
FPI favorite: Bills by 10.8 (79% to win outright)
Betting Nuggets
The Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last five games, the longest active streak in the NFL.
The Bills have covered seven straight meetings dating back to 2007.
The Broncos are 25-8 ATS off a bye since 1991 (4-1 ATS in last five, 10-3 ATS last 13 games off a bye).
Prime-time unders are 11-1 since Week 6. Monday Night Football unders are 10-1 this season.